Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.017371 0.021888 0.027891 0.036742 0.050001 0.070142 0.105404
2024-12-29 0.012188 0.016905 0.024162 0.037041 0.061743 0.114174 0.266249
2025-01-05 0.009353 0.013665 0.020869 0.035179 0.067600 0.156992 0.588761
2025-01-12 0.007743 0.011753 0.018879 0.034359 0.074798 0.218537 1.564766
2025-01-19 0.006957 0.010973 0.018577 0.036760 0.092795 0.372865 11.747540
2025-01-26 0.006493 0.010628 0.018966 0.040999 0.122895 0.778743 NaN
2025-02-02 0.006101 0.010317 0.019310 0.045419 0.163225 1.947623 NaN
2025-02-09 0.005541 0.009558 0.018431 0.045805 0.187259 4.089955 NaN
2025-02-16 0.005086 0.008930 0.017693 0.046303 0.215549 10.927955 NaN
2025-02-23 0.004684 0.008347 0.016924 0.046339 0.243557 41.773414 NaN
2025-03-02 0.004235 0.007600 0.015584 0.043628 0.244116 113.496472 NaN
2025-03-09 0.003903 0.007069 0.014706 0.042390 0.258367 1904.630979 NaN
2025-03-16 0.003637 0.006695 0.014292 0.043476 0.313424 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 0.003376 0.006300 0.013755 0.043898 0.372395 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 0.003076 0.005775 0.012737 0.041550 0.381338 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 0.002849 0.005394 0.012057 0.040519 0.415964 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 0.002744 0.005283 0.012149 0.043544 0.582926 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 0.002687 0.005280 0.012574 0.048929 0.972656 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.002627 0.005260 0.012943 0.054601 1.741529 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.002493 0.005034 0.012573 0.055099 2.285878 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.002373 0.004832 0.012246 0.055744 3.107594 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.002258 0.004627 0.011870 0.055790 4.123117 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.002112 0.004329 0.011112 0.052296 3.913530 NaN NaN